FBS Conference Projected Standings for 2011 season
Updated for games through September 5, 2011 (week one). Only the few conferences who had relevant games are updated in this post; for the remainder see our pre-season post here.
We use "fuzzy logic" which allows for partial wins and losses to project the most likely conference winners based on our pre-season rankings. Actual results are integrated as the season progresses.
rank = projected ranking position at end of season
lw = last week's ranking
proj W = projected conference wins at end of season
proj L = projected conference losses at end of season
W = current actual conference wins
L = current actual conference losses
| ACC | ||||||
|
rank
|
lw
|
Atlantic division |
proj W
|
proj L
|
W | L |
| 1 | 1 | Florida State | 7.10 | 0.90 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | North Carolina State | 4.69 | 3.31 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 4 | Maryland | 4.43 | 3.57 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | Clemson | 4.36 | 3.64 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston College | 3.72 | 4.28 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Forest | 1.82 | 6.18 | 0 | 0 |
|
rank
|
lw
|
Coastal division |
proj W
|
proj L
|
W | L |
| 1 | 1 | Virginia Tech | 6.17 | 1.83 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3 | North Carolina | 4.30 | 3.70 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | Miami FL | 4.05 | 3.95 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Tech | 2.69 | 5.31 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke | 2.39 | 5.61 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 6 | Virginia | 2.27 | 5.73 | 0 | 0 |
Only three leagues played any intra-conference games, and the ACC had the most important as suspension-plagued Miami nearly overcame the odds but fell to Maryland. The Terps now have a good chance to edge Clemson for the #3 spot in the Atlantic while the 'Canes look like a solid #3 in the Coastal behind UNC.
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rank
|
lw
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Mountain West
|
proj W
|
proj L
|
W
|
L
|
| 1 | 1 | Boise State | 6.24 | 0.76 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | TCU | 5.74 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force | 5.09 | 1.91 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | San Diego State | 4.25 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 6 | Colorado State | 2.29 | 4.71 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | 5 | Wyoming | 1.98 | 5.02 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 7 | UNLV | 1.49 | 5.51 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8 | New Mexico | 0.93 | 6.07 | 0 | 1 |
Colorado State beat New Mexico, which only solidifies the Lobos' spot in the cellar, while the Rams move up to #5. That's probably as far as they go as there's a big gap between the upper and lower half of the conference though.
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rank
|
lw
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Sun Belt
|
proj W
|
proj L
|
W
|
L
|
| 1 | 2 | Florida International | 5.94 | 2.06 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Arkansas State | 5.84 | 2.16 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 3 | Troy | 4.95 | 3.05 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Monroe | 3.98 | 4.02 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Kentucky | 3.88 | 4.12 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 6 | North Texas | 3.54 | 4.46 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Lafayette | 3.30 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8 | Middle Tennessee St | 2.69 | 5.31 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 9 | Florida Atlantic | 1.88 | 6.12 | 0 | 0 |
FIU defeated North Texas which doesn't affect the Mean Green at all but pushes the Panthers just past Arkansas State as expected division winner.
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