At one point in the season, the Georgetown Hoyas looked like a lock for the Big Dance. Then came a five-game losing streak, followed by a 4-6 finish that was capped Tuesday night with a first-round loss in the Big East tournament.
Now at 16-14, the Hoyas aren't even a bubble team in most projections.
But is there a glimmer of hope? In 2001, Georgia finished 16-14, lost in the first round of the SEC tournament, and still made it into the NCAA tournament.
Like Georgetown, they were #1 in strength of schedule, and this led to a big argument as to how much weight should be put on schedule strength when a team is just barely above .500.
Georgetown actually has a better case in some areas. They have bigger wins—including defeats of Memphis and Connecticut—than Georgia did, and the Bulldogs finished an even-worse 3-7 down the stretch.
But Georgia finished with a winning conference record in the SEC, while Georgetown's Big East tally was 7-11 (7-12 if you count the tournament game), and they finished 12th of 16 teams. That is what should ultimately doom them. Georgetown is a longshot of longshots at this point.
However, it seems that every year there is a team or two that gets in despite being in no one's projections. Stranger things have happened.